Nanos projections show Poilievre’s Conservatives winning more seats than Trudeau’s Liberals

If an election were to be held today, the Conservative Party would win more seats than the Liberals, the latest seat projections from Nanos Research show.
In the last two federal elections, the Conservatives edged out the Liberals on the popular vote but failed to win the most seats, allowing Justin Trudeau to form consecutive minority governments. “You know, in the past, the Conservatives have led but haven’t been efficient at converting into seats. But now in the latest Nanos seat projections that we have, we actually have the Conservatives winning more seats than the Liberals, which means there would be a chance of not just a Liberal defeat, but of the Conservatives having a chance to form a government,” said Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos on the latest episode of Trend
Line. While a federal election is unlikely anytime soon, given that the Liberals and the NDP have a governing deal until 2025, the seat projections show the Conservatives winning 108 seats if an election was held today, compared to 106 seats for the Liberals. Much of this has to do with the Conservative Party’s projected performance around the Greater Toronto Area, where the Liberals have previously dominated.
The projections also show the NDP winning 41 seats, the Bloc Quebecois winning 24 and the Greens winning 2.
Nanos added that there are 57 ridings that are too close to call.
Some of these suburban ridings around Toronto, such as those in Oakville and Burlington, had been considered “traditionally very strong” ridings for the Liberals in the last two elections, Nanos said. But the projections now suggest these ridings are leaning Conservative or too close to call. If an election were to be held today, the Conservative Party would win more seats than the Liberals, the latest seat projections from Nanos Research show. In the last two federal elections, the Conservatives edged out the Liberals on the popular vote but failed to win the most seats, allowing Justin Trudeau to form consecutive minority governments.
“You know, in the past, the Conservatives have led but haven’t been efficient at converting into seats. But now in the latest Nanos seat projections that we have, we actually have the Conservatives winning more seats than the Liberals, which means there would be a chance of not just a Liberal defeat, but of the Conservatives having a chance to form a government,” said Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos on the latest episode of Trend Line. ”Source: ctvnews.ca