Analysts say incumbent candidate Recep Tayyip Erdogan has an edge over the opposition’s Kilicdaroglu.
After a hotly-contested first round of elections on Sunday, Turkey will have a run-off vote on May 28.
What can we expect from the run-off?
Analysts predict that incumbent candidate Recep Tayyip Erdogan is more likely to win in a second round as he garnered a five-percentage point advantage from Sunday’s first-round vote against his main contender, Kemal Kilicdaroglu.
With more than 99 percent of votes counted, Erdogan had received 49.51 percent of the vote, electoral chief Ahmet Yener said. Kilicdaroglu had secured 44.89 percent, according to Yener, citing results from the Supreme Election Council. Overall, Erdogan performed better than expected, with his alliance also managing to secure a majority in the 600-seat parliament.
Political analyst Ali Carkoglu said Erdogan has “the momentum behind him” following those polls. “Erdogan maintained his base of support in the heartland of Anatolia,
although he lost some support in the southeast … He also maintained some credible level of support in the big cities,” Carkoglu told Al Jazeera.
“He was very successful also in the earthquake-hit regions. Some people find it surprising, but he apparently delivered what they expected of him and promises that he will deliver even better in the aftermath of the election,” the analyst added.
Meanwhile, there are some members of the opposition who are disappointed with Kilicdaroglu and consider him the wrong candidate as he was not able to chip away the conservative votes, Al Jazeera’s Zeina Khodr said. As for the third-place candidate, Sinan Ogan, he did better than expected, becoming a potential “kingmaker” who could play a pivotal role in the outcome of the second round if he endorses one of the two candidates facing off. Ogan has yet to make any such endorsement. Onur Erim, an analyst at Dragoman Strategies, told Al Jazeera that he will want ministries or vice presidencies in exchange for an endorsement.
Source: aljazeera.com/news

























