Poilievre’s support continues to rise as fewer think Trudeau should be leader, new Nanos surveys find

Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives have increased their support as the party Canadians would vote for and the Liberals are at a statistical tie with the New Democrats, according to the latest Nanos Research ballot tracking, which measures popular support for the major federal parties. Poilievre’s personal numbers continue to trend sharply upwards while his party saw a 17-point advantage over the federal Liberals in the new Nanos tracking.
On the ballot question, Conservatives are leading with an uptick in support over the past four weeks at 40.6 per cent versus Justin Trudeau’s Liberals, whose support dipped to 23.8 per cent. NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and his party saw a slight rise in support at 21.9 per cent. ”The reality is still (a) big advantage for Pierre Poilievre on the ballot numbers,” said Nik Nanos(opens in a new tab), CTV News’ pollster and chief data scientist of Nanos Research, on the latest episode of CTV News Trend Line. “When you see those Liberal numbers get towards the NDP numbers, who knows what Jagmeet Singh might do? Especially since … we’re in 2024 (and there’s) not a big gap between the New Democrats and the Liberals.”
Poilievre ‘in the driver’s seat’
For another Nanos survey on Canadians’ preferred prime minister, about 36 per cent of respondents say Poilievre is their best choice, a 16-point advantage over Trudeau, who has 20 per cent. Singh is at 15 per cent.
“The trend line for Pierre Poilievre is at a level that is higher than any Conservative leader, including Stephen Harper, in the past decade,” Nanos said. “He’s basically in the driver’s seat in terms of the ballot numbers and also in the driver’s seat when it comes to who Canadians today at least would prefer as prime minister.” For the ballot support and preferred PM surveys, the data is based on a random four-week telephone poll of 1,032 Canadians (aged 18 years and older), which is accurate 3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. The interviews ended Feb. 16. Moreover, a Nanos survey with The Globe and Mail asked Canadians what would be the best way for the Liberals to improve their chances of winning the next federal election. “(Trudeau) took the party out of the wilderness in 2015,” Nanos said. “The party could go back into the wilderness if he’s leader, except if there’s something major that happens where he does really well and Pierre Poilievre really blows up.”…
Source: ctvnews.ca